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As Focus Shifts To New Hampshire, Race Between Clinton And Sanders Intensifies

John Minchillo
/
AP
After a photo finish in Iowa, the Sen. Bernie Sanders attended campaign events in New Hampshire, including this one Tuesday afternoon in Keene in advance of the Feb. 9 primary.

Based on Monday's close vote in Iowa, Vermont supporters of Democratic presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton say they now expect this campaign will continue for months.

With the Iowa caucuses now in the candidates' rear view mirror, the Democratic race will focus on next week's primary in New Hampshire.

Then Nevada holds its caucuses on Feb. 20 and South Carolina has its primary election on Feb. 27.  These events set the stage for Super Tuesday, March 1, when Vermont and 11 other states go to the polls.

Linda Fowler is a professor of government at Dartmouth College. She says the close Iowa vote was definitely a boost for the Sanders campaign.

“Hillary, who was supposedly a shoo-in for Iowa barely eked out of holding her own,” Fowler says. “And I think the press is accurately characterizing this is as 'Wow! Bernie did a lot better than anybody ever thought he would.'" 

Fowler says Clinton has very strong support among African American voters and she says this could be a big advantage when many southern states hold their primaries.

"He hasn't had that much time to be down there and to let people check him out,” says Fowler. “At least right now, Clinton has endorsements of many of the major Black political figures in southern communities."

"At least right now, Clinton has endorsements of many of the major Black political figures in southern communities." — Linda Fowler, professor of government at Dartmouth College

Burlington Rep. Chris Pearson is a Progressive who has worked for Sanders. He thinks the close race in Iowa coupled with a win in New Hampshire next week will totally change the dynamics of this contest.

"At that point, the discussion just becomes widely different around the country,” Pearson says. “Hillary Clinton is no longer the presumptive nominee. People go ‘Wait a minute, what do people in Iowa and New Hampshire know that I don't know? Who is this Bernie Sanders guy?"

Former Gov. Madeleine Kunin is a spokesperson for the Clinton campaign in Vermont. She says the serious challenge from Sanders has made Hillary Clinton a stronger candidate.

"I think Bernie has strengthened the campaign, has moved her somewhat to the left,” says Kunin. “I don't think it's as far left as people think because she's been a progressive politician for a long time."

"At that point, the discussion just becomes widely different around the country. Hillary Clinton is no longer the presumptive nominee. People go 'Wait a minute, what do people in Iowa and New Hampshire know that I don't know? Who is this Bernie Sanders guy?'" — Burlington Rep. Chris Pearson

Former Gov. Howard Dean announced his support for Clinton many months ago and this week he plans to campaign for her in New Hampshire.

"She's by far the most experienced person who is running,” says Dean. “She has a great record that I think Progressives could like a lot and I certainly do."

Jeff Weaver is Sanders' campaign manager. He says he's not concerned about winning the "endorsement" contest.

"You know, when we got into this Bernie knew that he would not be the candidate of the establishment,” explains Weaver. “And the fact that you have establishment people who are supporting Secretary Clinton is really not that surprising."

Many Clinton supporters were hoping that the race would be over by the beginning of March. Former Governor Kunin is expecting a much longer contest before a clear winner emerges.

"Bernie has a lot of strength and a lot of support,” says Kunin. “But I think it's going to vary from state-to-state and I think this is going to be exciting probably until the very end."

And Rep. Pearson, who supports Sanders, notes that more than a million people have donated to the Sanders campaign, the largest number of any presidential candidate. 

"Bernie has a lot of strength and a lot of support, but I think it's going to vary from state-to-state and I think this is going to be exciting probably until the very end." — Former Gov. Madeleine Kunin

Since the average contribution is roughly $30, Pearson says this means that many donors can contribute again.

"Bernie is raising incredible amounts of money from small donations and so he's well positioned to draw this debate out,” Pearson said.

The next Democratic debate will take place on Thursday night in New Hampshire. Since former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley has dropped out of the race, this will be the first time that Sanders and Clinton have met one-on-one.

Bob Kinzel has been covering the Vermont Statehouse since 1981 — longer than any continuously serving member of the Legislature. With his wealth of institutional knowledge, he answers your questions on our series, "Ask Bob."
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